Mark my words: the second Trump aberration will be just as bad for America as the first.

Having already made a few predictions last year about the British general election, now we have a date for it, I’d like to make some supplementary predictions. And there’s another aspect of this election that interests me: the size of the House of Commons, given the size of the country.

The Albanese government will enjoy a second general election win in May next year. Dutton can afford to lose this election, but he can’t afford to lose again in May 2028. And here’s why I say this.

I’ll be proved right on my call that Labor will win this Federal seat.

I’ve decided to make my British predictions first and leave those for Australia and the USA to the end of the year because all the British evidence is now in, so why delay?

Comparing the countries of the Anglosphere, the Voice referendum says something about our Anglophile ways and wokeness.

Here’s my advice to Anthony Albanese about referendums and also an important question that should be put to Peter Dutton, who needs to be asked to tell the truth.

Don’t fall for the propaganda that May 1967 was of great national rejoicing by a unified nation that had suddenly become progressive. Before polling day, I’ll write on the 1999 referendum that has been also mis-described and give some friendly advice to Anthony Albanese.

I’ve written before about how the machines of big political parties in Australia and New Zealand design electoral systems to make life as convenient for themselves as possible. With a big test for PM Sunak and PM Yousaf ahead, maybe there’s something to learn from down under?

My article today is about whether Victoria’s politicians wish to continue with the present reputation of being the worst democracy in the country.

Dutton will win the referendum, but it will do him no good in the eyes of the history books.

Our election expert Malcolm Mackerras looks at by-elections here and in the UK to assess the current ‘popularity’ of conservatives in both countries.