The case for keeping the electoral college is strong and I confidently predict that in 2028 the candidate who wins the presidency also will win the popular vote. Read on…

On Saturday 8 March, the Labor Party will have a good night in Perth, in great contrast to the night exactly four weeks earlier on Saturday 8 February in Melbourne.

Labor is in a bad way in Victoria, in fact it’s not even contesting Prahran, a seat Labor seems to accept as permanently in the hands of the Greens. What about the Liberal Party?

In the past our doyen of elections, the legendary Malcolm Mackerras, had written off Donald Trump’s second coming as a non-event but by mid-2024 he changed his views and predicted a Trump win. So, on the day that Mr Trump takes office, Malcolm asks: “Is the world ready for the second Trump aberration?”

My favourite election for 2024 has been made of the basis of my joy or gloom at the result. In January next year, my first article for 2025, will be my analysis of the US presidential election.

I now seek to discuss Victoria because in July this year there was issued a two-volume magnificent report from the Electoral Matters Committee of the state’s Parliament titled “The conduct of the 2022 Victorian state election”. I have a problem with this report and here’s why.

With a run of elections ahead, will a potential loss in the Northern Territory be the first pin to fall for Labor? Here are my predications…

Mark my words: the second Trump aberration will be just as bad for America as the first.

Having already made a few predictions last year about the British general election, now we have a date for it, I’d like to make some supplementary predictions. And there’s another aspect of this election that interests me: the size of the House of Commons, given the size of the country.

The Albanese government will enjoy a second general election win in May next year. Dutton can afford to lose this election, but he can’t afford to lose again in May 2028. And here’s why I say this.

I’ll be proved right on my call that Labor will win this Federal seat.

I’ve decided to make my British predictions first and leave those for Australia and the USA to the end of the year because all the British evidence is now in, so why delay?