Politics

Trump wants a tariff on movies: how would that even work, and should Australia be worried?

US President Donald Trump’s recent announcement of a plan to impose a 100% tariff on movies “produced in foreign lands” could have a massive impact on the global entertainment industry. Film and television production is increasingly part of an interconnected global system. Hollywood’s major studios and global streaming giants use a diverse range of locations […]

Albanese pushing ahead with super tax but could face problems

The re-election of the Albanese government has led to renewed concern about planned changes to the taxation of investment returns in superannuation funds.

Trump announces trade deal with UK, markets breathe small sigh of relief

Everyone relax. It’s let's-make-a-deal time, as US President Donald Trump announces plans for a US UK trade deal. So what do we know so far?

Is Albo about to axe the Australian luxury car tax?

Fresh off a knockout election win, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is hard at work negotiating better deals for Australian goods overseas. Everything is reportedly on the table when it comes to the negotiations, including an axe of the notorious luxury car tax.

How I’ll vote this Saturday

With the use of the actual ballot papers I intend to post my votes on my website. I have done that for the 2016, 2019 and 2022 elections for the Senate. This time I’ll do it for both my ballot papers and I now explain the reasoning for my votes, along with a few other things…

Will Anthony Albanese be our PM after May 3?

The time has come for me to make my detailed predictions for Australia’s federal elections on 3 May.

Is Mark Carney predicted to prevail as Canada’s PM?

Both Canada and Australia will have general elections in the same week, Canada on Monday April 28 and Australia on Saturday May 3. Here’s my take on who’ll be Canada’s next PM and a hint on who’ll win the Aussie election.

The American electoral college bias has disappeared

The case for keeping the electoral college is strong and I confidently predict that in 2028 the candidate who wins the presidency also will win the popular vote. Read on…

Roger Cook a sure bet in WA

On Saturday 8 March, the Labor Party will have a good night in Perth, in great contrast to the night exactly four weeks earlier on Saturday 8 February in Melbourne.

Setback looming for Victorian Labor

Labor is in a bad way in Victoria, in fact it’s not even contesting Prahran, a seat Labor seems to accept as permanently in the hands of the Greens. What about the Liberal Party?

Mackerras on return of President Trump

In the past our doyen of elections, the legendary Malcolm Mackerras, had written off Donald Trump’s second coming as a non-event but by mid-2024 he changed his views and predicted a Trump win. So, on the day that Mr Trump takes office, Malcolm asks: “Is the world ready for the second Trump aberration?”

What’s my favourite election for this year?

My favourite election for 2024 has been made of the basis of my joy or gloom at the result. In January next year, my first article for 2025, will be my analysis of the US presidential election.

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