Malcolm Mackerras

9 June 2025
Federal election 2025 passes into history

Now that the 2025 Australian election results are laid bare for all, it's time to see how my predictions fared against the outcomes.

22 May 2025
The results are finally in for the House of Representatives in the 2025 Federal Election

After a marathon of counts, recounts and wins-by-a-nose, where are we in the House of Representatives? And what happens next?

1 May 2025
How I’ll vote this Saturday

With the use of the actual ballot papers I intend to post my votes on my website. I have done that for the 2016, 2019 and 2022 elections for the Senate. This time I’ll do it for both my ballot papers and I now explain the reasoning for my votes, along with a few other things…

17 April 2025
Will Anthony Albanese be our PM after May 3?

The time has come for me to make my detailed predictions for Australia’s federal elections on 3 May.

4 April 2025
Is Mark Carney predicted to prevail as Canada’s PM?

Both Canada and Australia will have general elections in the same week, Canada on Monday April 28 and Australia on Saturday May 3. Here’s my take on who’ll be Canada’s next PM and a hint on who’ll win the Aussie election.

3 March 2025
The American electoral college bias has disappeared

The case for keeping the electoral college is strong and I confidently predict that in 2028 the candidate who wins the presidency also will win the popular vote. Read on…

20 February 2025
Roger Cook a sure bet in WA

On Saturday 8 March, the Labor Party will have a good night in Perth, in great contrast to the night exactly four weeks earlier on Saturday 8 February in Melbourne.

31 January 2025
Setback looming for Victorian Labor

Labor is in a bad way in Victoria, in fact it’s not even contesting Prahran, a seat Labor seems to accept as permanently in the hands of the Greens. What about the Liberal Party?

21 January 2025
Mackerras on return of President Trump

In the past our doyen of elections, the legendary Malcolm Mackerras, had written off Donald Trump’s second coming as a non-event but by mid-2024 he changed his views and predicted a Trump win. So, on the day that Mr Trump takes office, Malcolm asks: “Is the world ready for the second Trump aberration?”

13 December 2024
What’s my favourite election for this year?

My favourite election for 2024 has been made of the basis of my joy or gloom at the result. In January next year, my first article for 2025, will be my analysis of the US presidential election.

21 October 2024
Queensland’s Labor government will be defeated on October 26

While I may be wrong with my predictions in some individual seats, for Queensland, the LNP will win the election. It will be a majority government and David Crisafulli will be Premier of Queensland. Here are my details…and my pendulum.

27 September 2024
October 19 brings general elections you might not know about

With Federal Labor under political fire, in four Saturday’s time we will see if voters in Canberra and NSW are becoming anti-Labor.

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