Since I wrote my last two articles on Albo’s referendums many people have asked me for my predictions. To such requests I have answered: “There is one chance in three that the Voice proposal will be carried and two chances in three it will be defeated. Australia will not become a republic.”
The Victorian state election was held on 26 November last year. Normally I would write my post-election commentary in the following month, but this commentary is delayed for two reasons, first the holidays and second for a reason unique to this election.
For the past three years my reading of the Biden presidency has been surprisingly good – but I am starting to wonder now whether Joe Biden may turn out to be a 21st century version of Jimmy Carter, both Democrats.
There have been plenty of elections around the world these last three months, but the two cases of special world interest were for the President of Brazil in the runoff of Sunday 30 October and the midterm congressional elections in the USA on Tuesday 8 November.
We have reached the stage in Victoria’s state election on 26 November where it is safe to make a prediction of results for the Legislative Assembly.
When then Prime Minister Paul Keating in November 1992 coined the famous description of the Australian Senate as “unrepresentative swill” he would not have had then nineteen-years-old Lidia Thorpe in mind.
Virtually unnoticed by the general public, the 47th Parliament in Canberra has set up a Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters (JSCEM) which is examining the conduct of the 2022 federal election.
Overall, the mid-term elections should be quite a good result for Biden and one man he could thank is Trump himself.
When the next vote for a republic is put to the Australian people, I predict it will go down more heavily than it did in 1999.
I predict Scott Morrison to resign from politics, with the first by-election for the 47th Parliament to occur in the second half of 2023.
At the forthcoming referendums, I’ll be voting Yes to the 'Voice' and No to the 'Republic'. Here's why.
Readers may wonder why I have taken so long to make my prediction as to who will be the British Prime Minister
