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Has our productivity explained why Hanson and Trump are so popular?

The Productivity Commission chair, Danielle Wood wants Jim Chalmers to boldly boost our productivity, but has she underlined why Donald Trump and Pauline Hanson have more fans nowadays?

The Productivity Commission chair, Danielle Wood wants Jim Chalmers to boldly boost our productivity, but has she underlined why Donald Trump and Pauline Hanson have more fans nowadays?

At a time when Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is channelling his inner-Bill Clinton to explain why Pauline Hanson and her One Nation party are becoming more politically popular than Labor, with this once ‘despised racist’ having parallels with President Donald Trump, the chair of the Productivity Commission helps us understand why there has been a swing globally to the right-wing of politics.

Yep, it is happening in the UK, where Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party has the support of 27.3% of voters, while Labour and the Conservatives are on 18.4%. It’s also happening in Germany and other European countries, with the polls showing discontent with their traditional leaders, and often there is a belief that immigration, climate change and other new-age social policies have “gone too far”.

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They platform the belief that policies that were once seen as good and fair decades ago are now being gamed by minorities, and the majorities in these countries think the pendulum of fairness has swung too far to the left, or to the too-nice, which is imposing real-life costs on the populations of these countries.

Brexit was a line in the sand drawn by UK voters, and it shocked the then Prime Minister, David Cameron, who never thought it would get up, and so he offered the option to quieten down what he thought was a loud, protesting minority. He and others in the ruling elite learnt that there was a silent majority, and these groups have become less subdued, as the USA found out on 6 January 2021, when rioting supporters of a defeated Donald Trump in the November 2020 poll, descended on the Capitol building in Washington, claiming the election was rigged!

Over the weekend, the AFR’s economics editor, John Kehoe, looked at a piece written by Alex Sanchez in that newspaper on what is going wrong here, and why an increasing number of Aussies are cheesed off, such that they want to vote for One Nation.

Sanchez was a former economic adviser to the PM, but he thinks his old boss is making mistakes.

Kehoe summed up what is going on to explain the newfound affiliation with Pauline.

“Helping first home buyers compete against investors through tax changes to negative gearing and capital gains is Labor’s primary tool,” he noted. “The reality is Australian voters are grumpy overwhelmingly due to sticky inflation and a lack of real income growth since the 2020 pandemic, causing many to revolt against the mainstream political parties.”

Similarly, I would argue that despite good intentions to give money to low-income Australians and make homes more affordable for young property players, the economic implications of Labor’s policies have been high inflation, high interest rates and a slowing economy, which is now creating job losses.

And adding fuel to the fire is the boss of the Productivity Commission, Danielle Wood, who has implored Treasurer Jim Chalmers to be “more bold” in pressuring his own colleagues in the Federal Government and the state premiers to work on reducing red tape and other regulations that are frustrating businesses and killing productivity improvements.

Economists maintain that productivity will increase production and incomes, while bringing inflation and then interest rates down. It’s not just a cost-killer but an income generator. Am economic magic pudding!

In an essay entitled The Red Tape Impulse, Wood has asked for:

  1. An increase in the $900m paid to states to cut red tape and boost competition. (The Business Council of Australia wants it to be $10 billion!)
  2. An easing up on mandatory reporting on climate change and slavery in supply chains.
  3. A change in the banning of live cattle shipments.
  4. An end to the NSW’s late night bar lockouts as the related regulations add billions of dollars in compliance costs.
  5. A reform of the heavy vehicle regulations which could boost the economy by $950 million to $4 billion.
  6. A change of the regulations on bicycle helmets and electricity plugs to global standards, which could add $1.1 billion to $3 billion to the economy.

Wood is basically telling the governments of Australia to get real and get some guts to make changes that the economy needs, even if you offend some groups politically.

Alex Sanchez, wrote his paper for the Centre for Independent Studies to recognise the 40-year milestone of Paul Keating’s “banana republic” comment to 2UE’s John Laws on 14 May 1986. The then Treasurer Keating was making a call to all significant parties in the economy — unions, businesses, governments and ordinary Australians — that they all had to get real and embrace change.

And it was the big changes from Messrs Hawke and Keating, followed up by Howard and Costello that explained why our economy became so competitive and then went over 30 years without a technical recession. Only a Coronavirus in 2020 put paid to that achievement!

The likes of Hawke and Keating, and Tony Blair in the UK with his Third Way policy approach, which had parallels with President Clinton’s centrist approach, were all about leftish governments recognising they needed a healthy business sector to raise living standards and wealth. Many political and economic commentators nowadays believe the Albanese-Chalmers team has lost its way, where the rationally sensible approach of the famous leaders of the past, which lifted their economies and those who lived in them, has been replaced by a second-rate alternative.

“Today we are witness to the rational project being quietly displaced by a rival framework that prioritises redistribution [of income] over growth, security over competition, and the comfortable management of decline over an aspiration for improvement,” Sanchez wrote in a paper for the Centre for Independent Studies.

I would also argue that the current federal government is selecting policies that its potential voters would want, while targeting and taxing those Australians that Labor thinks will never vote for them.

I guess political parties have always targeted potential voters, but I can’t recall a government in my lifetime that is so clearly anti-baby boomers, successful small-business builders and aspirational investors, who all seem to be viewed as tax dodgers.

In fact, many of these Australians have built businesses we use and enjoy, roads and airports that add joy to our lives, have or will leave inheritances for their families, paid taxes for a long time and even have fought wars to protect our freedom.

And by the way, their investments do create jobs, pay wages and deliver places where people live.

As an Australian, who was not born with a silver spoon in my mouth, I personally despise envy politics and those who use it to cover up their shortcomings because they are not courageous, insightful and valuable leaders.

It’s because of these second-raters in power today, that unusual people, who once were seen as unacceptable, like Donald Trump and Pauline Hanson, have become increasingly popular.

(P.S. I know Trump is now unpopular because of the Iran war and its impact on petrol prices, but his rise to the presidency, twice, justifies my observation that conventional leaders’ inadequacies have made the likes of Trump and Hanson popular. It can’t be that they both have red hair, though it does challenge the old saying: “Better dead than red!”

 

Peter Switzer

Peter Switzer

Peter Switzer is the founder of Switzer Group - a content, publishing and financial services firm. Peter is an award-winning broadcaster, talking each morning to 2GB's Ben Fordham about the latest in finance and money. You can read his views daily on Switzer.com.au, and subscribe to Switzer Report for his latest insights, analysis and recommendations.

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2 comments on “Has our productivity explained why Hanson and Trump are so popular?”

  1. John

    Hi Peter,
    Your comments are essentially right about the popularity of One Nation. The fact is average Australian are sick of this socialist government not listening to them.
    Let’s look at what Albanese, Chalmers and Bowen have achieved since winning government.
    -High inflation
    -High interest rates.
    -Record debt.
    -High cost of living.
    -Hight energy costs.
    -High taxes.
    -Low productivity
    -Out of control immigration
    Degradation of the armed forces.
    Degradation of social cohesion.
    Identify politics.
    Record number of Public servants.
    That why Australians are looking at One Nation. The Government could not run a chook raffle.

    Reply
  2. andrew sloan

    “I guess political parties have always targeted potential voters, but I can’t recall a government in my lifetime that is so clearly anti-baby boomers, successful small-business builders and aspirational investors, who all seem to be viewed as tax dodgers.”

    This para explains the problem because albo and his crew have never “worked” for a living so they have no idea about what keeps the country ticking along,and because of this they rely too much on the inflated public service who also have no idea whats going on outside Canberra.
    It is hoped the conservatives (lib,nat and one nation) get in a room somewhere and COMPROMISE enough polices to go to the next election as a conservatve front otherwise we will have this woke mob for another 3 years

    Reply

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